Northwestern
W-L: ( 5- 3) PR = 94.1586Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Boston College ACC ( 5- 4, 89.8) 20-12 209 H Colorado Big 12 ( 5- 2, 94.1) 9-10 214 H Army Patriot ( 6- 2, 89.5) 18- 7 215 H Central Michigan MAC ( 1- 8, 73.4) 25- 2 220 H Marquette Big East ( 5- 3, 83.9) 25- 7 228 A Stony Brook Colonial ( 7- 2, 93.0) 13-12 312 H Syracuse ACC ( 6- 3, 93.3) 6- 9 315 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 6- 2, 90.5) 15-16 321 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6- 3, 81.7) 325 A North Carolina ACC ( 8- 0, 99.9) 329 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten ( 8- 1, 91.4) 404 H Southern California Big Ten ( 6- 4, 85.1) 409 A Maryland Big Ten ( 8- 0, 93.4) 412 A Penn State Big Ten ( 9- 1, 92.8) 412 H Rutgers Big Ten ( 5- 4, 89.7) 418 A Michigan Big Ten ( 6- 2, 91.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Boston College 20-12 8 3 ++ 4.98
209 H Colorado 9-10 -1 1 - -2.41
214 H Army 18- 7 11 6 ++ 5.00
215 H Central Michigan 25- 2 23 22 0.00
220 H Marquette 25- 7 18 12 + 2.40
228 A Stony Brook 13-12 1 0 1.16
312 H Syracuse 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.15
315 H Ohio State 15-16 -1 5 -- -5.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Syracuse 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.15 315 H Ohio State 15-16 -1 5 -- -5.97 209 H Colorado 9-10 -1 1 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Boston College 20-12 8 3 ++ 4.98 214 H Army 18- 7 11 6 ++ 5.00 220 H Marquette 25- 7 18 12 + 2.40 |
Northwestern Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Albany | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| American | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Arizona State | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Army | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Austin Peay | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Binghamton | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Boston College | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Boston University | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Brown | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Bryant | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Bucknell | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Butler | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| California | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Northwestern | |
| Campbell | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Canisius | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Central Connecticut | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Central Michigan | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Cincinnati | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Northwestern | |
| Clemson | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Coastal Carolina | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Colgate | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Columbia | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Connecticut | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Cornell | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Dartmouth | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Davidson | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Delaware | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Delaware State | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Denver | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Detroit Mercy | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Drexel | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Duke | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Duquesne | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| East Carolina | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Elon | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Fairfield | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Florida | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Florida State | Northwestern | Northwestern 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Furman | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Gardner Webb | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| George Mason | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| George Washington | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Georgetown | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Harvard | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| High Point | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Hofstra | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Holy Cross | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Howard (DC) | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Iona | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Jacksonville | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| James Madison | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Kennesaw State | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Kent State | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| La Salle | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Lafayette | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Le Moyne | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Lehigh | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Liberty | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Lindenwood | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| LIU | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Longwood | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Louisville | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwestern | |
| Loyola (MD) | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Northwestern | |
| Manhattan | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Marist | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Marquette | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Maryland | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Massachusetts | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Mercer | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Mercyhurst | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Merrimack | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Michigan | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Monmouth (NJ) | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Mount St Marys | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Navy | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| New Hampshire | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| New Haven | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Niagara | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame | Northwestern | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Old Dominion | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Oregon | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Penn | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Penn State | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Pittsburgh | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Presbyterian | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Princeton | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Queens | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Quinnipiac | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Radford | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Rhode Island | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Richmond | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Rider | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Robert Morris | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Rutgers | Northwestern | Northwestern 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sacred Heart | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| San Diego State | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Siena | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| South Florida | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Southern California | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| St Bonaventure | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| St Josephs (PA) | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stanford | |
| Stetson | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Stonehill | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Stony Brook | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Temple | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Towson | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| UC Davis | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| UMBC | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Vanderbilt | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| VCU | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Vermont | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Villanova | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Virginia | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Virginia Tech | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Wagner | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| William & Mary | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Winthrop | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Wofford | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Xavier | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Yale | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Youngstown State | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwestern |
PowerWise = 127
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Boston College ( 5- 4, 89.8) 20-12 -10.09 29.69 1.33 1.03 64.03
0 H Colorado ( 5- 2, 94.1) 9-10 -5.82 33.96 -1.33 1.03 -3.69
0 H Army ( 6- 2, 89.5) 18- 7 -10.41 29.37 -1.33 1.03 57.87
0 H Central Michig ( 1- 8, 73.4) 25- 2 -26.54 13.24 -1.33 1.03 24.59
0 H Marquette ( 5- 3, 83.9) 25- 7 -16.01 23.77 -1.33 1.03 46.31
0 A Stony Brook ( 7- 2, 93.0) 13-12 -6.91 32.87 1.33 1.03 70.59
0 H Syracuse ( 6- 3, 93.3) 6- 9 -6.56 33.22 -1.33 1.03 -4.07
0 H Ohio State ( 6- 2, 90.5) 15-16 -9.38 30.40 -1.33 1.03 -5.53
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250.10
|
winning pts = 263.3943 losing points = -13.2928
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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